Brisbane Lions vs Hawthorn — AFL Round 22 predictions
Game Overview
Round 22 · Gabba · Friday 7:40 pm
BRIBRIBrisbane Lions vs
HAWHAWHawthorn
prM PredictionprM is our match-level prediction metric — the model's scoreline, margin and win-probability read for this game.Premium
BRIvsHAW
BRI
—
HAW
Predicted scorelines and win probability are part of StatRead Premium.
Win/Loss
BRI Brisbane Lions
WinsLosses
Last 5 GamesAll venues
4-180%
WWWWL
vs HawthornHead-to-head
2-340%
LLLWW
at GabbaThis venue
3-260%
LLWWW
Home Games2026 season
3-260%
LLWWW
Win–loss record across four contexts for this matchup.
Key outs & ins
BRI
▼Hugh McCluggagekey out
▼Darcy Gardiner (4 missed)
▼Dayne Zorko (1 missed)
▼Ty Gallop (1 missed)
▼James Tunstill (1 missed)
▲Darcy Gardinerin
▲Dayne Zorkoin
▲Daniel Annablein
HAW
▼Cameron Nairn (6 missed)
▼Ned Reeves (5 missed)
▼Flynn Perez (4 missed)
▼Bodie Ryan (4 missed)
▼Karl Amon (3 missed)
▲Karl Amonin
▲Mitch Lewisin
▲Ned Reevesin
▲Sam Butlerin
Lineup named10 outs
Positional Advantage
Matchup
How much more or less of this stat the position concedes vs league average — green = favourable matchup, grey = neutral or no model read for this group, red = unfavourable.StatRead splits every player into one of 15 detailed position groups (e.g. Key Forward, Inside Mid) instead of the usual four — a sharper read on who they actually match up against.