Hawthorn vs Collingwood — AFL Round 23 predictions
Game Overview
Round 23 · M.C.G. · Saturday 7:40 pm
HAWHAWHawthorn vs
COLCOLCollingwood
prM PredictionprM is our match-level prediction metric — the model's scoreline, margin and win-probability read for this game.Premium
HAWvsCOL
HAW
—
COL
Predicted scorelines and win probability are part of StatRead Premium.
Win/Loss
HAW Hawthorn
WinsLosses
Last 5 GamesAll venues
4-180%
WWWWL
vs CollingwoodHead-to-head
2-340%
LWLWL
at M.C.G.This venue
4-180%
LWWWW
Home Games2026 season
3-260%
LWLWW
Win–loss record across four contexts for this matchup.
Key outs & ins
HAW
▼Massimo DAmbrosiokey out
▼Cameron Nairn (7 missed)
▼Flynn Perez (5 missed)
▼Will McCabe (3 missed)
▼Noah Mraz (2 missed)
▼Bailey Macdonald (1 missed)
▲Bailey Macdonaldin
▲Max Beattiein
COL
▼Jordan de Goeykey out
▼Jack Buller (4 missed)
▼Brayden Maynard (2 missed)
▼Scott Pendlebury (1 missed)
▼Jordan de Goey (1 missed)
▼Jeremy Howe (1 missed)
▲Jordan De Goeyin
▲Scott Pendleburyin
Lineup named12 outs
Positional Advantage
Matchup
How much more or less of this stat the position concedes vs league average — green = favourable matchup, grey = neutral or no model read for this group, red = unfavourable.StatRead splits every player into one of 15 detailed position groups (e.g. Key Forward, Inside Mid) instead of the usual four — a sharper read on who they actually match up against.