Port Adelaide vs Melbourne — AFL Round 23 predictions
Game Overview
Round 23 · Adelaide Oval · Saturday 8:10 pm
PTAPTAPort Adelaide vs
MELMELMelbourne
prM PredictionprM is our match-level prediction metric — the model's scoreline, margin and win-probability read for this game.Premium
PTAvsMEL
PTA
—
MEL
Predicted scorelines and win probability are part of StatRead Premium.
Win/Loss
PTA Port Adelaide
WinsLosses
Last 5 GamesAll venues
0-50%
LLLLL
vs MelbourneHead-to-head
3-260%
LWLWW
at Adelaide OvalThis venue
2-340%
LWWLL
Home Games2026 season
2-340%
LWWLL
Win–loss record across four contexts for this matchup.
Key outs & ins
PTA
▼Ewan Mackinlay (7 missed)
▼Esava Ratugolea (7 missed)
▼Tom Cochrane (7 missed)
▼Zak Butters (4 missed)
▼Jack Lukosius (4 missed)
▲Lachie Jonesin
▲Xavier Bamertin
▲Mitch Georgiadesin
▲Joe Richardsin
MEL
▼Luker Kentfield (6 missed)
▼Jake Melksham (3 missed)
▼Latrelle Pickett (2 missed)
▼Blake Howes (1 missed)
▼Paddy Cross (1 missed)
Lineup named10 outs
Positional Advantage
Matchup
How much more or less of this stat the position concedes vs league average — green = favourable matchup, grey = neutral or no model read for this group, red = unfavourable.StatRead splits every player into one of 15 detailed position groups (e.g. Key Forward, Inside Mid) instead of the usual four — a sharper read on who they actually match up against.